Pokercode Variance Calculator
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Variance Calculator

See what the math really says about your tournament results.

Amount that goes to the prize pool
e.g. $50+$5 → buy-in 50, rake 5
Enter your ROI, or use the estimator below
Optional - unlocks Risk of Ruin calculation

Most players overestimate their edge.
Let's find out where you actually stand.

Answer honestly. The calculator is only as useful as the numbers you give it.

Step 1 of 8
How many tournaments have you played in total?
Under 500
500 - 1,000
1,000 - 2,000
2,000 - 5,000
5,000+
How confident are you in your preflop decisions?
Still learning
Solid
Strong
How would you rate your postflop play?
Still learning
Solid
Strong
Do you understand ICM and adjust near bubbles and pay jumps?
Still learning
Solid
Strong
How is your final table play - from FT bubble to heads-up?
Still learning
Solid
Strong
How strong is your heads-up game?
Still learning
Solid
Strong
What stakes do you primarily play?
Micro / Freerolls
Low ($10 - $50)
Mid ($50 - $200)
High ($200+)
How do you choose which tournaments to enter?
I play whatever is available
I look for softer fields and better structures
I actively study field composition and avoid tough lineups

Based on your answers, your estimated ROI is:

+0%
(range: 0% to 0%)
This has been applied to your calculator.
You can adjust it manually above.

Simulation Results

Profit / Loss Over Time (20 Sample Paths)
Final Outcome Distribution (10,000 Simulations)

Test the spots behind your ROI

Your variance graph starts with the decisions you repeat every session. Use Pokercode quizzes to find the leaks that cost you volume.

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